Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 16:30 • Villa Park
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.53) 0.56 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.8% 31.3% 17.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 17.6% 9.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAston VillaEverton
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack50%31%
Defense56%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aston Villa Everton
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins80%45%62%36%40%38%
Draws10%27%19%27%20%24%
Loses10%27%19%36%40%38%

Form: Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWD • Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWLLDWLD

League goals

Metric Aston Villa Everton
HATHAT
GF total18153314923
GF avg1.81.41.61.30.91.1
GA total81624151025
GA avg0.81.51.11.41.01.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAston VillaEverton
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%67%62%
1.552%24%33%33%
2.524%14%10%14%
3.510%5%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAston VillaEverton
HATHAT
Clean sheets426448
Failed to score246347

Penalties

MetricAston VillaEverton
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAston VillaEverton
Wins82
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-03-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-34-11-42-0
Goals For4433
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricAston VillaEverton
Form67%33%
Att62%38%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Double chance : Aston Villa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ 1xBet
Draw3.96 @ 1xBet
Away5.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aston Villa = 1.17 (league 1.53), Everton = 0.56 (league 1.28)

Everton
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aston Villa 0 17.6% 9.9% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 6.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.8% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 17.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1