Mon, Jan 19 2026 • 20:00 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.45 (league 1.52) 1.54 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.1% 13.1% 12.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.2%
2 - 1
6.2%
4 - 1
6.2%
Score & goals probability table
Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.0% 6.2% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonBournemouth
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack86%100%
Defense29%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Bournemouth
HATHAT
Played101121111021
Wins50%18%33%45%10%29%
Draws40%36%38%36%40%38%
Loses10%45%29%18%50%33%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLDWD • Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDDLDLW

League goals

Metric Brighton Bournemouth
HATHAT
GF total181331161834
GF avg1.81.21.51.51.81.6
GA total111728112940
GA avg1.11.51.31.02.91.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonBournemouth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%76%81%76%
1.552%38%57%57%
2.514%10%19%38%
3.50%10%5%19%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonBournemouth
HATHAT
Clean sheets325415
Failed to score134314

Penalties

MetricBrightonBournemouth
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBrightonBournemouth
Wins23
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-10-1
Biggest losses3-44-22-34-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricBrightonBournemouth
Form55%45%
Att40%60%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Brighton or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.95 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 3.45 (league 1.52), Bournemouth = 1.54 (league 1.29)

Bournemouth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.6% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
2 4.1% 6.2% 4.8% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3%
3 4.7% 7.2% 5.5% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3%
4 4.0% 6.2% 4.8% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3%
5 2.8% 4.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.1% · Draw 13.1% · Away win 12.9%

vtt 17 , vtd1