Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 15:00 •
Stamford Bridge
Expected Goals
1.80 (league 1.50)
1.05 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.9% | 23.1% | 21.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
10.9%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Brentford | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 47% | 87% |
| Defense | 40% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 11 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 40% | 36% | 38% | 64% | 30% | 48% |
| Draws | 30% | 36% | 33% | 27% | 0% | 14% |
| Loses | 30% | 27% | 29% | 9% | 70% | 38% |
ChelseaDWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLDDL
BrentfordLWLDLWLWWLWLWLLDWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 19 | 34 | 23 | 12 | 35 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 11 | 13 | 24 | 10 | 18 | 28 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea | Brentford | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 62% | 76% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 43% | 48% | 48% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 10% | 33% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 4-1 | 2-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 35% | 65% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 61% | 39% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 39.3% | 60.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.90 @ 1xBet
Away4.20 @ 10Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.39 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.50 @ Betfair
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League standings
Loading standings…