Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 16:30 •
Emirates Stadium
Expected Goals
2.73 (league 1.50)
0.64 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 75.2% | 12.7% | 6.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
12.9%
3 - 0
11.7%
1 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Manchester United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Arsenal | 0 | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 9.4% | 6.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.9% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.7% | 7.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 39% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
84%
FT probability
2.5+
59%
FT probability
3.5+
42%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 82% | 55% | 68% | 55% | 27% | 41% |
| Draws | 18% | 27% | 23% | 27% | 45% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 18% | 9% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
ArsenalWWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWWWWDD
Manchester UnitedLDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDW
League goals
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 26 | 14 | 40 | 20 | 18 | 38 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| GA total | 5 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 32 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Arsenal | Manchester United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 50% | 86% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 14% | 55% | 41% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 0% | 18% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 14% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 0-2 | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Arsenal | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 56% | 44% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 81% | 19% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 70% | 30% |
| Total | 66.2% | 33.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.61 @ 1xBet
Draw4.60 @ Pinnacle
Away6.10 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.74 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.12 @ Unibet
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League standings
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