Mon, Jan 26 2026 • 20:00 • Hill Dickinson Stadium
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.53) 1.10 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 22.6% 22.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
2 - 1
9.9%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.7% 10.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEvertonLeeds
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack100%100%
Defense17%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Everton Leeds
HATHAT
Played111122111122
Wins36%45%41%45%9%27%
Draws27%18%23%36%27%32%
Loses36%36%36%18%64%41%

Form: Everton: LWWDLDWLLDWWLWWLLDWLDW • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLW

League goals

Metric Everton Leeds
HATHAT
GF total141024191130
GF avg1.30.91.11.71.01.4
GA total151025132437
GA avg1.40.91.11.22.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEvertonLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%59%73%82%
1.532%32%36%45%
2.59%14%23%27%
3.50%9%5%9%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEvertonLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets459314
Failed to score347156

Penalties

MetricEvertonLeeds
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricEvertonLeeds
Wins21
Draws13
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-11-3
Biggest losses1-42-01-25-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against4235

Model comparison

MetricEvertonLeeds
Form57%43%
Att50%50%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h62%38%
Goals64%36%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Everton or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ 1xBet
Draw3.36 @ 1xBet
Away3.15 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Everton = 1.87 (league 1.53), Leeds = 1.10 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Everton 0 5.2% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 9.7% 10.6% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.6% 6.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 22.6% · Away win 22.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1