Sun, Jan 25 2026 • 14:00 •
St. James' Park
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.50)
1.56 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.5% | 21.5% | 29.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Aston Villa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Newcastle | 0 | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 47% |
| Attack | 50% | 33% |
| Defense | 72% | 61% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 11 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| Wins | 64% | 18% | 41% | 73% | 45% | 59% |
| Draws | 18% | 36% | 27% | 9% | 27% | 18% |
| Loses | 18% | 45% | 32% | 18% | 27% | 23% |
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Aston VillaDLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 10 | 32 | 18 | 15 | 33 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 15 | 12 | 27 | 9 | 16 | 25 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Newcastle | Aston Villa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 68% | 68% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 36% | 50% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 18% | 23% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 8 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Newcastle | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 59% | 41% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 58% | 42% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 61.5% | 38.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.15 @ Betano
Draw3.75 @ Dafabet
Away3.65 @ Superbet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.38 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.58 @ Superbet
No2.56 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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