Sat, Jan 31 2026 • 15:00 •
Elland Road
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.50)
1.24 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.0% | 29.0% | 43.8% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
13.1%
0 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Arsenal | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leeds | 0 | 11.6% | 14.5% | 9.0% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.6% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 60% |
| Defense | 60% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 23 |
| Wins | 45% | 8% | 26% | 75% | 55% | 65% |
| Draws | 36% | 33% | 35% | 17% | 27% | 22% |
| Loses | 18% | 58% | 39% | 8% | 18% | 13% |
LeedsWLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWD
ArsenalWWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWWWWDDL
League goals
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 42 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 2.3 | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 13 | 25 | 38 | 8 | 9 | 17 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leeds | Arsenal | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 83% | 87% | 52% |
| 1.5 | 35% | 43% | 57% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 26% | 22% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 9% | 13% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 5-0 | 2-3 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leeds | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 43% | 57% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 16% | 84% |
| Total | 38.2% | 61.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.37 @ 1xBet
Away1.60 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.98 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.96 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Betfair
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League standings
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