Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 20:00 • Elland Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.54) 0.97 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.9% 26.5% 25.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.9%
1 - 1
12.5%
2 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 8.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsNottingham Forest
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack40%40%
Defense33%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins42%8%25%25%33%29%
Draws33%33%33%25%17%21%
Loses25%58%42%50%50%50%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDL • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Leeds Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total191231131124
GF avg1.61.01.31.10.91.0
GA total172542181735
GA avg1.42.11.81.51.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%83%54%79%
1.533%46%29%46%
2.521%29%17%21%
3.54%13%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score2576511

Penalties

MetricLeedsNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLeedsNottingham Forest
Wins12
Draws31
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-00-3
Biggest losses0-45-00-33-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricLeedsNottingham Forest
Form38%62%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nottingham Forest

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ Dafabet
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away3.60 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 1.45 (league 1.54), Nottingham Forest = 0.97 (league 1.30)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 8.9% 8.6% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.9% 12.5% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.1% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 25.1%

vtt 23 , vtd1