Fri, Feb 6 2026 • 20:00 •
Elland Road
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.50)
1.00 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 48.1% | 26.1% | 25.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
12.3%
2 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Nottingham Forest | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Leeds | 0 | 8.3% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 40% |
| Defense | 33% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 12 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 42% | 8% | 25% | 25% | 33% | 29% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 25% | 17% | 21% |
| Loses | 25% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
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Nottingham ForestWDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWD
League goals
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 12 | 31 | 13 | 11 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 17 | 25 | 42 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
| GA avg | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Leeds | Nottingham Forest | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 83% | 54% | 79% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 46% | 29% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 29% | 17% | 21% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 1 |
| Losses | 4 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Leeds | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 58% | 42% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 42% | 58% |
| Total | 43.5% | 56.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.28 @ Dafabet
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away3.60 @ 188Bet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.87 @ Pinnacle
No2.01 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
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