Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 17:30 • St. James' Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.00 (league 1.53) 1.19 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.4% 21.6% 22.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.8%
1 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 4.1% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewcastleBrentford
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack39%44%
Defense50%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newcastle Brentford
HATHAT
Played121224121224
Wins58%17%38%58%33%46%
Draws17%33%25%25%0%13%
Loses25%50%38%17%67%42%

Form: Newcastle: DLDWDLWLWLLWWDWLDLWWWDLL • Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWLWLLDWWDWWLLW

League goals

Metric Newcastle Brentford
HATHAT
GF total221133231336
GF avg1.80.91.41.91.11.5
GA total171633122032
GA avg1.41.31.41.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewcastleBrentford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%71%71%75%
1.546%42%42%50%
2.513%21%29%8%
3.58%4%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewcastleBrentford
HATHAT
Clean sheets347336
Failed to score167347

Penalties

MetricNewcastleBrentford
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricNewcastleBrentford
Wins32
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-44-12-4
Biggest losses0-24-10-23-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricNewcastleBrentford
Form44%56%
Att47%53%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h60%40%
Goals52%48%
Total50.7%49.3%

Advice: Double chance : Newcastle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.65 @ 188Bet
Away3.65 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.31 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ Pinnacle
No2.46 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newcastle = 2.00 (league 1.53), Brentford = 1.19 (league 1.29)

Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newcastle 0 4.1% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.5% 6.5% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.7% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.1% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.4% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 22.3%

vtt 12 , vtd1