Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:30 • Stamford Bridge
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
2.31 (league 1.54) 0.85 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.2% 17.6% 12.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.4%
1 - 0
9.8%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 4.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricChelseaLeeds
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack75%50%
Defense63%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Chelsea Leeds
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins50%46%48%46%8%28%
Draws25%31%28%31%33%32%
Loses25%23%24%23%58%40%

Form: Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLDDLWWWW • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLW

League goals

Metric Chelsea Leeds
HATHAT
GF total202545221234
GF avg1.71.91.81.71.01.4
GA total131528182543
GA avg1.11.21.11.42.11.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineChelseaLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%64%72%84%
1.556%40%36%44%
2.524%8%24%28%
3.54%0%4%12%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricChelseaLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets549314
Failed to score112257

Penalties

MetricChelseaLeeds
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricChelseaLeeds
Wins31
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-54-11-3
Biggest losses1-33-10-45-0
Goals For3543
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricChelseaLeeds
Form63%37%
Att60%40%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Chelsea or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ 1xBet
Draw4.55 @ 188Bet
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.35 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.13 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Chelsea = 2.31 (league 1.54), Leeds = 0.85 (league 1.30)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Chelsea 0 4.2% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.8% 8.3% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.6% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 8.8% 7.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.1% 4.3% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.2% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 12.1%

vtt 12 , vtd1