Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 •
Villa Park
Expected Goals
2.10 (league 1.50)
0.70 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9% | 18.9% | 11.2% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 0
12.7%
3 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Leeds | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aston Villa | 0 | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.7% | 8.9% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.4% | 9.4% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Attack | 40% | 70% |
| Defense | 70% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 69% | 46% | 58% | 46% | 8% | 27% |
| Draws | 8% | 31% | 19% | 31% | 38% | 35% |
| Loses | 23% | 23% | 23% | 23% | 54% | 38% |
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LeedsWLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLWD
League goals
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 18 | 37 | 22 | 14 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 10 | 17 | 27 | 18 | 27 | 45 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aston Villa | Leeds | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 69% | 69% | 73% | 85% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 19% | 38% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 12% | 23% | 27% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 4% | 4% | 12% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-2 | 4-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aston Villa | Leeds |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 36% | 64% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 67.3% | 32.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.88 @ 1xBet
Draw3.81 @ 1xBet
Away4.55 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ 188Bet
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League standings
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