Sat, Feb 21 2026 • 15:00 •
Stamford Bridge
Expected Goals
2.84 (league 1.50)
1.15 (league 1.26)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 65.5% | 15.0% | 12.5% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.6%
3 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Burnley | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Chelsea | 0 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 7.1% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 60% |
| Defense | 40% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
91%
FT probability
2.5+
64%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 46% | 46% | 46% | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 31% | 15% | 23% |
| Loses | 23% | 23% | 23% | 54% | 69% | 62% |
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BurnleyLWLLDLLWWLLLLLLLDDLLDDDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 25 | 47 | 12 | 16 | 28 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 15 | 30 | 19 | 32 | 51 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 2.5 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Chelsea | Burnley | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 92% | 65% | 65% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 58% | 42% | 35% | 69% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 8% | 8% | 31% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 7 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 7 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 7 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-5 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Chelsea | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 72% | 28% |
| Att | 68% | 32% |
| Def | 63% | 38% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 76% | 24% |
| Total | 72.3% | 27.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.25 @ Betano
Draw7.47 @ 1xBet
Away14.40 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Betfair
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League standings
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