Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 16:30 • Emirates Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.90 (league 1.52) 0.89 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.9% 21.8% 17.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
11.1%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 6.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 10.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenalChelsea
Played55
Form73%73%
Attack64%55%
Defense82%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Chelsea
HATHAT
Played131528141327
Wins77%53%64%43%46%44%
Draws15%33%25%36%31%33%
Loses8%13%11%21%23%22%

Form: Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWWWWDDLWWDDW • Chelsea: DWWDLLWWLWWWDLDWDLDDLWWWWDD

League goals

Metric Arsenal Chelsea
HATHAT
GF total312556232548
GF avg2.41.72.01.61.91.8
GA total81321161531
GA avg0.60.90.81.11.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenalChelsea
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%54%93%67%
1.561%18%56%41%
2.529%4%22%7%
3.518%0%4%0%
4.54%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenalChelsea
HATHAT
Clean sheets7613549
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricArsenalChelsea
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricArsenalChelsea
Wins54
Draws22
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-43-01-5
Biggest losses2-32-11-33-1
Goals For5435
Goals Against3233

Model comparison

MetricArsenalChelsea
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total63.8%36.2%

Advice: Double chance : Arsenal or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.65 @ 188Bet
Away6.59 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal = 1.90 (league 1.52), Chelsea = 0.89 (league 1.29)

Chelsea
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal 0 6.2% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.7% 10.4% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.1% 9.9% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.0% 6.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.3% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.9% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 17.0%

vtt 58 , vtd1