Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 12:30 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.53) 0.42 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.1% 26.0% 10.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.1%
2 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.1%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 15.1% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 9.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthSunderland
Played55
Form73%20%
Attack62%38%
Defense69%23%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Sunderland
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins46%21%33%50%15%33%
Draws38%43%41%36%31%33%
Loses15%36%26%14%54%33%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDDLDLWDWWDWD • Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDDDDLWLWLLL

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total20234322628
GF avg1.51.61.61.60.51.0
GA total143145132033
GA avg1.12.21.70.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%74%63%70%
1.556%48%30%33%
2.519%30%11%19%
3.54%15%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets437538
Failed to score3252810

Penalties

MetricBournemouthSunderland
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBournemouthSunderland
Wins32
Draws34
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-01-2
Biggest losses2-34-01-33-0
Goals For3432
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthSunderland
Form79%21%
Att62%38%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals54%46%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Double chance : Bournemouth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw4.07 @ 1xBet
Away5.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.12 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Pinnacle
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 1.47 (league 1.53), Sunderland = 0.42 (league 1.30)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 15.1% 6.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.1% 9.4% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.3% 6.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 8.0% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 10.5%

vtt 36 , vtd1