Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.52) 0.77 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.8% 26.4% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.0%
2 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonNottingham Forest
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack18%18%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins38%21%30%21%31%26%
Draws46%29%37%29%15%22%
Loses15%50%33%50%54%52%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLDWDDLDLLW • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWDLDL

League goals

Metric Brighton Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total201636131225
GF avg1.51.11.30.90.90.9
GA total142034192039
GA avg1.11.41.31.41.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%52%78%
1.544%33%26%44%
2.511%7%15%22%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets336336
Failed to score2468513

Penalties

MetricBrightonNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricBrightonNottingham Forest
Wins22
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses3-44-20-33-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricBrightonNottingham Forest
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h62%38%
Goals36%64%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Brighton or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.28 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.47 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.01 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.71 @ Pinnacle
No2.22 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 1.49 (league 1.52), Nottingham Forest = 0.77 (league 1.29)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 10.5% 8.1% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.0% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 8.9% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.7% 4.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.8% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 19.4%

vtt 61 , vtd1