Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.54) 1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.1% 26.9% 30.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 8.4% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedCrystal Palace
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack45%27%
Defense77%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Crystal Palace
HATHAT
Played131427141327
Wins62%36%48%21%46%33%
Draws23%43%33%43%15%30%
Loses15%21%19%36%38%37%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDW • Crystal Palace: DDWDWWLDLWDWLWWLLLDLDLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Manchester United Crystal Palace
HATHAT
GF total252348141529
GF avg1.91.61.81.01.21.1
GA total152237181432
GA avg1.21.61.41.31.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedCrystal Palace
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%81%70%63%
1.556%41%30%33%
2.522%11%7%19%
3.511%4%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedCrystal Palace
HATHAT
Clean sheets4155510
Failed to score213538

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedCrystal Palace
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedCrystal Palace
Wins42
Draws32
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-42-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-34-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedCrystal Palace
Form65%35%
Att63%38%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h29%71%
Goals20%80%
Total48.5%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.66 @ 1xBet
Away6.41 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.35 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.11 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 1.36 (league 1.54), Crystal Palace = 1.11 (league 1.29)

Crystal Palace
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 8.4% 9.4% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.5% 12.8% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.8% 8.7% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.5% 3.9% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.2% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.1% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 30.6%

vtt 50 , vtd2