Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:30 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.54) 1.19 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.7% 23.5% 25.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 5.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthBrentford
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack46%69%
Defense77%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Brentford
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%21%32%50%43%46%
Draws43%43%43%29%0%14%
Loses14%36%25%21%57%39%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDDLDLWDWWDWDD • Brentford: LWLDLWLWWLWLWLLDWWDWWLLWWDLW

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Brentford
HATHAT
GF total212344242044
GF avg1.51.61.61.71.41.6
GA total153146152540
GA avg1.12.21.61.11.81.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthBrentford
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%75%71%79%
1.554%46%43%54%
2.518%29%32%11%
3.54%14%11%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthBrentford
HATHAT
Clean sheets437336
Failed to score325448

Penalties

MetricBournemouthBrentford
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricBournemouthBrentford
Wins32
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-12-4
Biggest losses2-34-00-23-1
Goals For3444
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthBrentford
Form47%53%
Att40%60%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%100%
Goals28%72%
Total49.4%50.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Brentford

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.67 @ 1xBet
Draw3.68 @ 1xBet
Away2.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 1.76 (league 1.54), Brentford = 1.19 (league 1.29)

Brentford
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 5.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 9.2% 11.0% 6.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.1% 9.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 2.1% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.7% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 25.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1