Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Amex Stadium
Not Started
—
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.53) 1.45 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.4% 26.6% 48.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.3%
1 - 1
12.5%
0 - 2
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 9.2% 13.3% 9.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonArsenal
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack38%92%
Defense69%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Arsenal
HATHAT
Played141428141529
Wins43%21%32%79%53%66%
Draws43%29%36%14%33%24%
Loses14%50%32%7%13%10%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLDWDDLDLLWW • Arsenal: WWLWDWWWWWDWDWLWWWWWDDLWWDDWW

League goals

Metric Brighton Arsenal
HATHAT
GF total221638332558
GF avg1.61.11.42.41.72.0
GA total15203591322
GA avg1.11.41.30.60.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonArsenal
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%79%90%55%
1.546%32%62%17%
2.511%7%28%3%
3.50%7%17%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonArsenal
HATHAT
Clean sheets3367613
Failed to score246123

Penalties

MetricBrightonArsenal
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBrightonArsenal
Wins25
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-00-4
Biggest losses3-44-22-32-1
Goals For3354
Goals Against4432

Model comparison

MetricBrightonArsenal
Form39%61%
Att29%71%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total33.7%66.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Arsenal

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.40 @ Unibet
Draw4.32 @ 1xBet
Away1.69 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.95 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 0.94 (league 1.53), Arsenal = 1.45 (league 1.29)

Arsenal
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 9.2% 13.3% 9.6% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5%
1 8.6% 12.5% 9.1% 4.4% 1.6% 0.5%
2 4.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.4% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 48.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1