Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:30 • Elland Road
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.52) 0.54 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 24.6% 12.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
14.9%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 11.9% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeedsSunderland
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack46%38%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leeds Sunderland
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins43%7%25%50%14%32%
Draws29%43%36%36%36%36%
Loses29%50%39%14%50%32%

Form: Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLWDDL • Sunderland: WLWDDWLWWDDLWDLWDDDDLWLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Leeds Sunderland
HATHAT
GF total22153722729
GF avg1.61.11.31.60.51.0
GA total192847132134
GA avg1.42.01.70.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeedsSunderland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%64%71%
1.536%43%29%32%
2.521%25%11%18%
3.54%11%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeedsSunderland
HATHAT
Clean sheets314538
Failed to score3582810

Penalties

MetricLeedsSunderland
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricLeedsSunderland
Wins12
Draws34
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-45-01-33-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricLeedsSunderland
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Leeds or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away4.70 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.78 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leeds = 1.58 (league 1.52), Sunderland = 0.54 (league 1.29)

Sunderland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leeds 0 11.9% 6.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 10.3% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 12.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1