Wed, Mar 4 2026 • 19:30 • Etihad Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.51 (league 1.53) 0.41 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 12.6% 4.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.9%
3 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 5.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester CityNottingham Forest
Played55
Form87%13%
Attack100%33%
Defense56%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester City Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins79%50%64%21%29%25%
Draws14%21%18%29%14%21%
Loses7%29%18%50%57%54%

Form: Manchester City: WLLWDWWWLWWLWWWWWWDDDLWDWWWW • Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWDLDLL

League goals

Metric Manchester City Nottingham Forest
HATHAT
GF total342357131326
GF avg2.41.62.00.90.90.9
GA total91625192241
GA avg0.61.10.91.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester CityNottingham Forest
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%57%54%79%
1.561%25%25%46%
2.539%4%14%21%
3.511%4%0%0%
4.57%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester CityNottingham Forest
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512336
Failed to score1348513

Penalties

MetricManchester CityNottingham Forest
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricManchester CityNottingham Forest
Wins62
Draws31
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-43-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-33-0
Goals For5533
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricManchester CityNottingham Forest
Form87%13%
Att77%23%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h80%20%
Goals82%18%
Total79.0%21.0%

Advice: Winner : Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ 1xBet
Draw5.00 @ 188Bet
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.39 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Pinnacle
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester City = 2.51 (league 1.53), Nottingham Forest = 0.41 (league 1.30)

Nottingham Forest
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester City 0 5.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.5% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 12.6% · Away win 4.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1