Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 • Old Trafford
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.76 (league 1.51) 1.11 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 23.5% 23.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 5.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedAston Villa
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack100%67%
Defense33%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins64%33%48%60%43%52%
Draws21%40%31%13%29%21%
Loses14%27%21%27%29%28%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDWWL • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWDLWLDWDLL

League goals

Metric Manchester United Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total272451211839
GF avg1.91.61.81.41.31.3
GA total162440151934
GA avg1.11.61.41.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%83%69%72%
1.555%41%41%24%
2.521%10%17%14%
3.510%3%7%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets415538
Failed to score213459

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedAston Villa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedAston Villa
Wins48
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-44-00-2
Biggest losses0-13-01-44-1
Goals For4444
Goals Against4344

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedAston Villa
Form67%33%
Att64%36%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total65.2%34.8%

Advice: Double chance : Manchester United or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ 1xBet
Away4.82 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.25 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 1.76 (league 1.51), Aston Villa = 1.11 (league 1.29)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 5.7% 6.3% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.0% 11.1% 6.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.8% 9.7% 5.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 23.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1