Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 20:00 • Vitality Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.52) 1.25 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.2% 25.5% 31.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
9.7%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 6.6% 8.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.1% 7.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.9% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBournemouthManchester United
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack30%80%
Defense80%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bournemouth Manchester United
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%20%30%67%33%50%
Draws47%47%47%20%40%30%
Loses13%33%23%13%27%20%

Form: Bournemouth: LWWWDDWDWLLDLLDDDLDLWDWWDWDDDD • Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDWWLW

League goals

Metric Bournemouth Manchester United
HATHAT
GF total212344302454
GF avg1.41.51.52.01.61.8
GA total153146172441
GA avg1.02.11.51.11.61.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBournemouthManchester United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%70%90%83%
1.550%43%57%40%
2.517%27%23%10%
3.53%13%10%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBournemouthManchester United
HATHAT
Clean sheets549415
Failed to score437213

Penalties

MetricBournemouthManchester United
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBournemouthManchester United
Wins34
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-21-4
Biggest losses2-34-00-13-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricBournemouthManchester United
Form41%59%
Att27%73%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.8%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.89 @ 1xBet
Away2.17 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.67 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bournemouth = 1.48 (league 1.52), Manchester United = 1.25 (league 1.29)

Manchester United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bournemouth 0 6.6% 8.2% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.7% 12.1% 7.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
2 7.2% 8.9% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.5% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.2% · Draw 25.5% · Away win 31.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1