Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 12:30 • Amex Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.52) 1.28 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 25.3% 32.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
9.3%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 6.3% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrightonLiverpool
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack36%64%
Defense79%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brighton Liverpool
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins40%27%33%53%40%47%
Draws40%27%33%27%20%23%
Loses20%47%33%20%40%30%

Form: Brighton: DLWLDWDWLWDWWLDLDLDWDDLDLLWWLW • Liverpool: WWWWWLLLLWLLWDDWWWDDDDLWLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Brighton Liverpool
HATHAT
GF total221739272249
GF avg1.51.11.31.81.51.6
GA total162036172340
GA avg1.11.31.21.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrightonLiverpool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%87%70%
1.543%30%47%47%
2.510%7%17%17%
3.50%7%10%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrightonLiverpool
HATHAT
Clean sheets347459
Failed to score347224

Penalties

MetricBrightonLiverpool
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricBrightonLiverpool
Wins25
Draws24
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-35-20-2
Biggest losses3-44-20-33-0
Goals For3353
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricBrightonLiverpool
Form47%53%
Att36%64%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total42.2%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Liverpool

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Betfair
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away2.26 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.44 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Pinnacle
No2.59 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brighton = 1.49 (league 1.52), Liverpool = 1.28 (league 1.29)

Liverpool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brighton 0 6.3% 8.1% 5.2% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.0% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.7% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.6% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 32.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1