Mon, Apr 13 2026 • 19:00 • Old Trafford
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.52) 0.86 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 16.0% 10.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
2 - 1
9.3%
3 - 0
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManchester UnitedLeeds
Played55
Form67%20%
Attack82%9%
Defense45%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.81 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manchester United Leeds
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins67%31%48%38%7%23%
Draws20%44%32%31%47%39%
Loses13%25%19%31%47%39%

Form: Manchester United: LDWLWLWWWDDLWDWDLWDDDWWWWDWWLWD • Leeds: WLDLWDLLWLLLLWDDWDDDLWDLWDDLLDD

League goals

Metric Manchester United Leeds
HATHAT
GF total302656221537
GF avg2.01.61.81.41.01.2
GA total172643202848
GA avg1.11.61.41.31.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManchester UnitedLeeds
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%84%65%81%
1.558%42%32%39%
2.523%10%19%23%
3.510%3%3%10%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManchester UnitedLeeds
HATHAT
Clean sheets415426
Failed to score2135611

Penalties

MetricManchester UnitedLeeds
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricManchester UnitedLeeds
Wins41
Draws33
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-44-11-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-45-0
Goals For4443
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricManchester UnitedLeeds
Form77%23%
Att90%10%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h75%25%
Goals70%30%
Total69.7%30.3%

Advice: Winner : Manchester United

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.35 @ 188Bet
Away5.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.10 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manchester United = 2.50 (league 1.52), Leeds = 0.86 (league 1.28)

Leeds
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manchester United 0 3.5% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.7% 7.5% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.3% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 9.1% 7.8% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.7% 4.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 10.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1