Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 • City Ground
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.52) 1.32 (league 1.28)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.1% 28.2% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.5%
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 11.0% 14.5% 9.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNottingham ForestAston Villa
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack55%45%
Defense55%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins20%31%26%63%40%52%
Draws33%19%26%13%27%19%
Loses47%50%48%25%33%29%

Form: Nottingham Forest: WDLLDLLLLDWWLWLWLLLLWDWDLDLLDDW • Aston Villa: DLLDDWWWWLWWWWWWWWLWDLWLDWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Nottingham Forest Aston Villa
HATHAT
GF total131831231942
GF avg0.91.11.01.41.31.4
GA total192443152237
GA avg1.31.51.40.91.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNottingham ForestAston Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%74%71%71%
1.529%45%42%26%
2.516%19%16%16%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNottingham ForestAston Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets448639
Failed to score9514459

Penalties

MetricNottingham ForestAston Villa
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricNottingham ForestAston Villa
Wins28
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-2
Biggest losses0-33-01-44-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricNottingham ForestAston Villa
Form56%44%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Aston Villa

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away2.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nottingham Forest = 0.89 (league 1.52), Aston Villa = 1.32 (league 1.28)

Aston Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nottingham Forest 0 11.0% 14.5% 9.6% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.8% 12.9% 8.5% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 4.3% 5.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.1% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 46.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1