Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 16:00 • Ceres Park Vejlby
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.79) 0.53 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.1% 43.7% 26.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.7%
1 - 0
19.2%
0 - 1
17.3%
Score & goals probability table
Brondby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 32.7% 17.3% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 10.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAarhusBrondby
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack100%54%
Defense62%46%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aarhus Brondby
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%75%63%60%67%63%
Draws25%25%25%0%0%0%
Loses25%0%13%40%33%38%

Form: Aarhus: DLDWWWWW • Brondby: WWLWWLLW

League goals

Metric Aarhus Brondby
HATHAT
GF total611178311
GF avg1.52.82.11.61.01.4
GA total358729
GA avg0.81.31.01.40.71.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAarhusBrondby
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%63%
1.550%25%50%38%
2.538%0%13%13%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAarhusBrondby
HATHAT
Clean sheets202123
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAarhusBrondby
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAarhusBrondby
Wins02
Draws10
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-53-00-2
Biggest losses1-21-32-0
Goals For4532
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricAarhusBrondby
Form63%38%
Att68%32%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aarhus or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 188Bet
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away3.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aarhus = 0.59 (league 1.79), Brondby = 0.53 (league 1.51)

Brondby
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 32.7% 17.3% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.2% 10.2% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 43.7% · Away win 26.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1