Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 16:00 • MCH Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.93 (league 1.78) 2.13 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.3% 17.2% 25.9%
best score tips
2 - 2
6.2%
3 - 2
6.0%
2 - 1
5.8%
Score & goals probability table
Viborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.7% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC MidtjyllandViborg
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack86%43%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Midtjylland Viborg
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%50%50%25%50%38%
Draws50%25%38%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%13%75%50%63%

Form: FC Midtjylland: DWDDWWWL • Viborg: LLWWLLWL

League goals

Metric FC Midtjylland Viborg
HATHAT
GF total165216511
GF avg4.01.32.61.51.31.4
GA total102128513
GA avg2.50.51.52.01.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC MidtjyllandViborg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%75%
1.575%50%50%50%
2.563%25%0%38%
3.525%0%0%0%
4.513%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC MidtjyllandViborg
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricFC MidtjyllandViborg
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricFC MidtjyllandViborg
Wins32
Draws20
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-21-31-00-2
Biggest losses1-02-33-1
Goals For6322
Goals Against3133

Model comparison

MetricFC MidtjyllandViborg
Form63%38%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total63.5%36.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Midtjylland or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away5.13 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ Pinnacle
No2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Midtjylland = 2.93 (league 1.78), Viborg = 2.13 (league 1.52)

Viborg
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
1 1.9% 4.0% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
2 2.7% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3% 1.0%
3 2.6% 5.7% 6.0% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
4 1.9% 4.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
5 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.3% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 25.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1