Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:00 • Right to Dream Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.79) 1.85 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 21.1% 66.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.2%
0 - 2
15.0%
1 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aarhus
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Nordsjaelland 0 8.8% 16.2% 15.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.5% 8.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC NordsjaellandAarhus
Played55
Form60%100%
Attack42%100%
Defense42%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 113 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Nordsjaelland Aarhus
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%60%75%67%
Draws0%0%0%20%25%22%
Loses50%60%56%20%0%11%

Form: FC Nordsjaelland: WLLLLWWWL • Aarhus: DLDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric FC Nordsjaelland Aarhus
HATHAT
GF total391271118
GF avg0.81.81.31.42.82.0
GA total41317358
GA avg1.02.61.90.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC NordsjaellandAarhus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%78%89%67%
1.544%56%44%22%
2.511%44%33%0%
3.50%11%22%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC NordsjaellandAarhus
HATHAT
Clean sheets202303
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricFC NordsjaellandAarhus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricFC NordsjaellandAarhus
Wins30
Draws01
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-02-34-11-5
Biggest losses1-33-01-2
Goals For1345
Goals Against3422

Model comparison

MetricFC NordsjaellandAarhus
Form38%63%
Att28%72%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h60%40%
Goals53%47%
Total38.8%61.3%

Advice: Winner : Aarhus

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.69 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.28 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.51 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Nordsjaelland = 0.58 (league 1.79), Aarhus = 1.85 (league 1.51)

Aarhus
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Nordsjaelland 0 8.8% 16.2% 15.0% 9.3% 4.3% 1.6%
1 5.1% 9.5% 8.8% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9%
2 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.3%
3 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 21.1% · Away win 66.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1