Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 • Parken Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.56 (league 1.78) 1.54 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.4% 25.4% 60.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.8%
0 - 2
14.5%
0 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
FC Midtjylland
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Copenhagen 0 12.3% 18.8% 14.5% 7.4% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 1.9% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack75%69%
Defense50%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Copenhagen FC Midtjylland
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins25%83%60%67%50%60%
Draws50%0%20%33%25%30%
Loses25%17%20%0%25%10%

Form: FC Copenhagen: WWWLWDWLDW • FC Midtjylland: DWDDWWWLWW

League goals

Metric FC Copenhagen FC Midtjylland
HATHAT
GF total8162420525
GF avg2.02.72.43.31.32.5
GA total771411213
GA avg1.81.21.41.80.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%80%70%
1.580%40%80%40%
2.540%20%50%20%
3.510%0%20%0%
4.510%0%10%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
HATHAT
Clean sheets112123
Failed to score000022

Penalties

MetricFC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricFC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
Wins33
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-56-21-3
Biggest losses2-32-11-0
Goals For3563
Goals Against3231

Model comparison

MetricFC CopenhagenFC Midtjylland
Form40%60%
Att52%48%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h29%71%
Goals40%60%
Total38.0%62.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Midtjylland

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Bet365
Away4.00 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Betano
Under 2.52.04 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Copenhagen = 0.56 (league 1.78), FC Midtjylland = 1.54 (league 1.52)

FC Midtjylland
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Copenhagen 0 12.3% 18.8% 14.5% 7.4% 2.8% 0.9%
1 6.9% 10.6% 8.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5%
2 1.9% 3.0% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.4% · Draw 25.4% · Away win 60.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1