Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 17:00 • New Vejlby Stadium
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.09 (league 1.79) 0.93 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 20.0% 15.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.7%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
FC Nordsjaelland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack80%47%
Defense73%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aarhus FC Nordsjaelland
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%80%73%40%50%45%
Draws17%20%18%0%0%0%
Loses17%0%9%60%50%55%

Form: Aarhus: DLDWWWWWWWW • FC Nordsjaelland: WLLLLWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Aarhus FC Nordsjaelland
HATHAT
GF total10132341216
GF avg1.72.62.10.82.01.5
GA total461061319
GA avg0.71.20.91.22.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%82%73%
1.555%18%45%55%
2.536%0%18%36%
3.518%0%0%9%
4.59%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
HATHAT
Clean sheets303213
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Wins03
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-51-00-3
Biggest losses1-21-33-0
Goals For4513
Goals Against2234

Model comparison

MetricAarhusFC Nordsjaelland
Form63%38%
Att63%37%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total62.3%37.8%

Advice: Double chance : Aarhus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ Unibet
Draw3.95 @ Unibet
Away4.15 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Betano
Under 2.52.40 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betano
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aarhus = 2.09 (league 1.79), FC Nordsjaelland = 0.93 (league 1.51)

FC Nordsjaelland
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 4.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.7% 9.9% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 7.5% 6.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.9% 3.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 15.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1