Superliga — Denmark
Mon, Nov 3 2025 • 18:00 • MCH Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.06 (league 1.76) 3.06 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.3% 16.1% 33.3%
best score tips
3 - 3
5.0%
3 - 2
4.9%
2 - 3
4.9%
Score & goals probability table
Aarhus
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
1 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3%
3 1.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3%
4 0.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9% 1.8%
5 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Played55
Form87%87%
Attack67%48%
Defense86%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

87%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Midtjylland Aarhus
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins71%50%62%71%67%69%
Draws29%33%31%14%33%23%
Loses0%17%8%14%0%8%

Form: FC Midtjylland: DWDDWWWLWWDWW • Aarhus: DLDWWWWWWWWDW

League goals

Metric FC Midtjylland Aarhus
HATHAT
GF total251035111627
GF avg3.61.72.71.62.72.1
GA total123154913
GA avg1.70.51.20.61.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC MidtjyllandAarhus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%69%92%69%
1.577%31%54%23%
2.554%15%38%8%
3.531%0%15%0%
4.515%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
HATHAT
Clean sheets134404
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Wins38
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-20-44-11-5
Biggest losses—1-01-2—
Goals For6445
Goals Against3123

Model comparison

MetricFC MidtjyllandAarhus
Form50%50%
Att58%42%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h75%25%
Goals70%30%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FC Midtjylland or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ 188Bet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away4.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ 188Bet
No2.57 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FC Midtjylland = 3.06 (league 1.76), Aarhus = 3.06 (league 1.50)

Aarhus
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Midtjylland 0 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
1 0.7% 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 2.5% 1.5%
2 1.0% 3.1% 4.8% 4.9% 3.8% 2.3%
3 1.0% 3.2% 4.9% 5.0% 3.8% 2.3%
4 0.8% 2.5% 3.8% 3.8% 2.9% 1.8%
5 0.5% 1.5% 2.3% 2.4% 1.8% 1.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.3% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 33.3%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1