Superliga — Denmark
Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:00 • New Vejlby Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.76) 1.27 (league 1.49)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.9% 26.1% 34.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.8%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
FC Copenhagen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 7.2% 9.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAarhusFC Copenhagen
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack47%26%
Defense63%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aarhus FC Copenhagen
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins63%63%63%38%63%50%
Draws13%38%25%50%0%25%
Loses25%0%13%13%38%25%

Form: Aarhus: DLDWWWWWWWWDWDLW • FC Copenhagen: WWWLWDWLDWDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Aarhus FC Copenhagen
HATHAT
GF total131932131730
GF avg1.62.42.01.62.11.9
GA total71017101222
GA avg0.91.31.11.31.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAarhusFC Copenhagen
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%69%88%75%
1.556%25%56%44%
2.531%13%31%19%
3.513%0%6%0%
4.56%0%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAarhusFC Copenhagen
HATHAT
Clean sheets415314
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAarhusFC Copenhagen
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total35

Streaks

MetricAarhusFC Copenhagen
Wins83
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-52-01-5
Biggest losses2-3—2-33-1
Goals For4535
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricAarhusFC Copenhagen
Form53%47%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals45%55%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Aarhus or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.70 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.84 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aarhus = 1.37 (league 1.76), FC Copenhagen = 1.27 (league 1.49)

FC Copenhagen
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aarhus 0 7.2% 9.1% 5.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.8% 12.4% 7.9% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.7% 8.5% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 3.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 34.5%

Vtot 10 , Vtod1