Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.28 (league 1.56) 0.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 29.3% 19.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.2%
0 - 0
14.3%
1 - 1
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Juarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 14.3% 9.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz AzulFC Juarez
Played55
Form100%67%
Attack90%60%
Defense60%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul FC Juarez
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins75%75%75%50%25%38%
Draws25%25%25%25%50%38%
Loses0%0%0%25%25%25%

Form: Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWW • FC Juarez: DLDLWWWD

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul FC Juarez
HATHAT
GF total8816448
GF avg2.02.02.01.01.01.0
GA total358448
GA avg0.81.31.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz AzulFC Juarez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%75%88%
1.563%25%25%13%
2.538%13%0%0%
3.513%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz AzulFC Juarez
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricCruz AzulFC Juarez
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCruz AzulFC Juarez
Wins03
Draws21
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-11-2
Biggest losses——0-21-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricCruz AzulFC Juarez
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals82%18%
Total66.5%33.5%

Advice: Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.60 @ Betano
Draw4.70 @ Dafabet
Away6.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul = 1.28 (league 1.56), FC Juarez = 0.67 (league 1.20)

FC Juarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 14.3% 9.5% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.2% 12.2% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 7.8% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.0% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 19.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1