Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
2.53 (league 1.54) 0.42 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
78.8% 12.4% 4.3%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
14.1%
1 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Puebla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 5.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxaPuebla
Played55
Form13%7%
Attack20%30%
Defense10%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa Puebla
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%0%13%
Draws50%25%38%0%25%13%
Loses25%75%50%75%75%75%

Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLD • Puebla: LLWLLDLL

League goals

Metric Necaxa Puebla
HATHAT
GF total527527
GF avg1.30.50.91.30.50.9
GA total4101491221
GA avg1.02.51.82.33.02.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxaPuebla
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%63%75%
1.513%38%25%75%
2.513%38%0%50%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxaPuebla
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score123123

Penalties

MetricNecaxaPuebla
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNecaxaPuebla
Wins11
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-0
Biggest losses0-13-02-47-0
Goals For3121
Goals Against1347

Model comparison

MetricNecaxaPuebla
Form67%33%
Att40%60%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total65.5%34.5%

Advice: Double chance : Necaxa or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.90 @ Unibet
Away4.50 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ SBO
Under 2.52.17 @ Dafabet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Pinnacle
No2.19 @ Dafabet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 2.53 (league 1.54), Puebla = 0.42 (league 1.19)

Puebla
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 5.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 5.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.1% 6.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 78.8% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 4.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1