Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.57) 0.60 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.3% 23.8% 13.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.3%
2 - 0
14.3%
0 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 10.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%60%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Leon
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%25%38%40%33%38%
Draws50%50%50%20%33%25%
Loses0%25%13%40%33%38%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWD • Leon: LWLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Leon
HATHAT
GF total8614628
GF avg2.01.51.81.20.71.0
GA total4610549
GA avg1.01.51.31.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%75%50%
1.550%38%13%25%
2.525%25%13%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses—3-11-34-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Form53%47%
Att65%35%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Club Tijuana or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Dafabet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Dafabet
Under 2.52.87 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Dafabet
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 1.65 (league 1.57), Leon = 0.60 (league 1.16)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 10.5% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.3% 10.4% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.3% 8.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.9% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.3% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 13.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1