Liga MX — Mexico
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.56) 0.58 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.0% 23.6% 12.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.6%
2 - 0
14.6%
0 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 10.6% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack100%60%
Defense40%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Leon
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%25%38%40%33%38%
Draws50%50%50%20%33%25%
Loses0%25%13%40%33%38%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWD • Leon: LWLLWDWD

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Leon
HATHAT
GF total8614628
GF avg2.01.51.81.20.71.0
GA total4610549
GA avg1.01.51.31.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%63%75%50%
1.550%38%13%25%
2.525%25%13%25%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Wins11
Draws21
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-23-00-1
Biggest losses—3-11-34-1
Goals For3231
Goals Against3334

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaLeon
Form53%47%
Att65%35%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Club Tijuana or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ Dafabet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away3.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Dafabet
Under 2.52.87 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Dafabet
No2.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 1.66 (league 1.56), Leon = 0.58 (league 1.20)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 10.6% 6.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.6% 10.3% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.6% 8.5% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.4% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.0% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 12.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1