Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 01:07 • Estadio AKRON
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.94 (league 1.54) 0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 21.2% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.0%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.0% 10.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack33%11%
Defense50%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Necaxa
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins20%25%22%40%0%22%
Draws20%25%22%40%25%33%
Loses60%50%56%20%75%44%

Form: Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDL • Necaxa: LWDDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Necaxa
HATHAT
GF total6511628
GF avg1.21.31.21.20.50.9
GA total1061641014
GA avg2.01.51.80.82.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%67%89%
1.533%56%11%33%
2.522%33%11%33%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Wins11
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-31-23-1
Biggest losses0-31-00-13-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against3313

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara ChivasNecaxa
Form56%44%
Att75%25%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Betano
Draw3.98 @ 1xBet
Away4.20 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 188Bet
No2.23 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara Chivas = 1.94 (league 1.54), Necaxa = 0.84 (league 1.19)

Necaxa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 6.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.0% 10.1% 4.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1