Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio León
Match Finished
2 - 2
Expected Goals
1.01 (league 1.55) 0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.5% 35.3% 15.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
24.2%
0 - 0
24.1%
2 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Mazatlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 24.1% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLeonMazatlán
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack24%29%
Defense71%48%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Leon Mazatlán
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins40%25%33%20%0%11%
Draws20%25%22%60%25%44%
Loses40%50%44%20%75%44%

Form: Leon: LWLLWDWDL • Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLD

League goals

Metric Leon Mazatlán
HATHAT
GF total6288210
GF avg1.20.50.91.60.51.1
GA total591410515
GA avg1.02.31.62.01.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLeonMazatlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%56%67%89%
1.511%33%44%44%
2.511%33%0%22%
3.50%22%0%11%
4.50%11%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLeonMazatlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets224011
Failed to score123033

Penalties

MetricLeonMazatlán
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLeonMazatlán
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-1
Biggest losses1-35-01-43-2
Goals For3122
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricLeonMazatlán
Form80%20%
Att45%55%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h85%15%
Goals62%38%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Double chance : Leon or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.80 @ Betano
Draw4.17 @ 1xBet
Away4.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.07 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Leon = 1.01 (league 1.55), Mazatlán = 0.42 (league 1.20)

Mazatlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Leon 0 24.1% 10.0% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.2% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.2% 5.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.5% · Draw 35.3% · Away win 15.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1