Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Olímpico Universitario
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.57) 0.52 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
74.1% 16.1% 7.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.9%
1 - 0
14.2%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Club Queretaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 6.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCruz AzulClub Queretaro
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack48%38%
Defense76%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cruz Azul Club Queretaro
HATHAT
Played549459
Wins80%75%78%25%20%22%
Draws20%25%22%25%0%11%
Loses0%0%0%50%80%67%

Form: Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWW • Club Queretaro: LLLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Cruz Azul Club Queretaro
HATHAT
GF total11819639
GF avg2.22.02.11.50.61.0
GA total55108816
GA avg1.01.31.12.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCruz AzulClub Queretaro
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%44%89%
1.567%33%33%56%
2.544%11%22%33%
3.511%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCruz AzulClub Queretaro
HATHAT
Clean sheets213011
Failed to score101235

Penalties

MetricCruz AzulClub Queretaro
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricCruz AzulClub Queretaro
Wins01
Draws21
Losses04

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-23-20-2
Biggest losses——0-23-0
Goals For4332
Goals Against2333

Model comparison

MetricCruz AzulClub Queretaro
Form68%32%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h71%29%
Goals60%40%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Cruz Azul or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.26 @ Betano
Draw6.72 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.45 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Pinnacle
No1.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cruz Azul = 2.24 (league 1.57), Club Queretaro = 0.52 (league 1.16)

Club Queretaro
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cruz Azul 0 6.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 14.2% 7.4% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.9% 8.2% 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.9% 6.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 6.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 3.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.1% · Draw 16.1% · Away win 7.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1