Liga MX — Mexico
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio BBVA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.58 (league 1.56) 1.41 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.1% 11.8% 10.4%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.3%
4 - 1
6.6%
2 - 1
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Santos Laguna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.4% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreySantos Laguna
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack92%38%
Defense23%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey Santos Laguna
HATHAT
Played46106410
Wins75%67%70%50%0%30%
Draws25%0%10%0%25%10%
Loses0%33%20%50%75%60%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDL • Santos Laguna: WLLWLLLDLW

League goals

Metric Monterrey Santos Laguna
HATHAT
GF total1111228513
GF avg2.81.82.21.31.31.3
GA total512179817
GA avg1.32.01.71.52.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreySantos Laguna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%80%70%
1.570%50%40%50%
2.550%20%10%30%
3.510%10%0%20%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreySantos Laguna
HATHAT
Clean sheets123303
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMonterreySantos Laguna
Scored (total | %)3 | 75.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 25.00%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricMonterreySantos Laguna
Wins71
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-0—
Biggest losses—6-21-43-2
Goals For3432
Goals Against2643

Model comparison

MetricMonterreySantos Laguna
Form71%29%
Att71%29%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution75%25%
H2h100%0%
Goals87%13%
Total70.2%29.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Monterrey or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Betano
Draw6.25 @ Bet365
Away9.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.86 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Unibet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 3.58 (league 1.56), Santos Laguna = 1.41 (league 1.20)

Santos Laguna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.4% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
2 4.4% 6.1% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.2% 7.3% 5.2% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
4 4.7% 6.6% 4.6% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
5 3.3% 4.7% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.1% · Draw 11.8% · Away win 10.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1