Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio Caliente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.54) 1.35 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.2% 20.3% 22.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.6%
2 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.4% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricClub TijuanaCruz Azul
Played55
Form53%87%
Attack80%60%
Defense67%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Club Tijuana Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played55106410
Wins60%20%40%67%75%70%
Draws40%40%40%33%25%30%
Loses0%40%20%0%0%0%

Form: Club Tijuana: WLDDWDWDWL • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Club Tijuana Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total1361913821
GF avg2.61.21.92.22.02.1
GA total47117512
GA avg0.81.41.11.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineClub TijuanaCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%60%90%70%
1.550%30%70%40%
2.530%20%40%10%
3.510%0%10%0%
4.510%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricClub TijuanaCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets314213
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricClub TijuanaCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricClub TijuanaCruz Azul
Wins17
Draws22
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-24-11-2
Biggest losses3-1
Goals For5243
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricClub TijuanaCruz Azul
Form38%62%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.45 @ Unibet
Draw4.18 @ 1xBet
Away2.12 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.61 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.79 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Club Tijuana = 2.20 (league 1.54), Cruz Azul = 1.35 (league 1.19)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Club Tijuana 0 2.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.3% 8.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.0% 9.4% 6.3% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 5.1% 6.9% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.2% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 22.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1