Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
0 - 1
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.54) 1.21 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.8% 28.3% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 10.1% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.0% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxaPachuca
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack36%29%
Defense29%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa Pachuca
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%50%40%45%
Draws40%17%27%0%40%18%
Loses20%83%55%50%20%36%

Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLL • Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDW

League goals

Metric Necaxa Pachuca
HATHAT
GF total65116915
GF avg1.20.81.01.01.81.4
GA total416206713
GA avg0.82.71.81.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxaPachuca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%91%64%73%
1.518%45%45%45%
2.59%45%27%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxaPachuca
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score123314

Penalties

MetricNecaxaPachuca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total13

Streaks

MetricNecaxaPachuca
Wins14
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-00-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-22-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricNecaxaPachuca
Form50%50%
Att56%44%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h15%85%
Goals35%65%
Total41.5%58.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pachuca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.54 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away2.77 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ 188Bet
No2.61 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 1.09 (league 1.54), Pachuca = 1.21 (league 1.19)

Pachuca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 10.1% 12.1% 7.3% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
1 10.9% 13.2% 8.0% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2%
2 6.0% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.2% 2.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away win 38.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1