Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.54) 2.82 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.7% 17.3% 52.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.0%
1 - 3
6.6%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
FC Juarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 1.0% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4%
1 1.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.6% 4.6% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
3 1.0% 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlasFC Juarez
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack43%64%
Defense43%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas FC Juarez
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins20%17%18%67%20%45%
Draws40%33%36%17%40%27%
Loses40%50%45%17%40%27%

Form: Atlas: WDLLDLLDDLW • FC Juarez: DLDLWWWDLWW

League goals

Metric Atlas FC Juarez
HATHAT
GF total108189615
GF avg2.01.31.61.51.21.4
GA total1412265712
GA avg2.82.02.40.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlasFC Juarez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%100%82%82%
1.555%82%45%18%
2.536%45%9%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlasFC Juarez
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricAtlasFC Juarez
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricAtlasFC Juarez
Wins13
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-22-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-23-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against4323

Model comparison

MetricAtlasFC Juarez
Form33%67%
Att40%60%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h75%25%
Goals57%43%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Juarez

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.36 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.92 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ 188Bet
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atlas = 1.81 (league 1.54), FC Juarez = 2.82 (league 1.19)

FC Juarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 1.0% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 2.6% 1.4%
1 1.8% 5.0% 7.0% 6.6% 4.6% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
3 1.0% 2.7% 3.8% 3.6% 2.5% 1.4%
4 0.4% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2% 0.7%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.7% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 52.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1