Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.54) 1.75 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.3% 23.2% 59.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.0%
0 - 2
12.2%
1 - 1
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 8.0% 14.0% 12.2% 7.1% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico San LuisAtlas
Played55
Form27%53%
Attack39%50%
Defense61%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico San Luis Atlas
HATHAT
Played57126612
Wins0%43%25%33%17%25%
Draws20%0%8%33%33%33%
Loses80%57%67%33%50%42%

Form: Atletico San Luis: WLLLWLLDWLLL • Atlas: WDLLDLLDDLWW

League goals

Metric Atletico San Luis Atlas
HATHAT
GF total3141713821
GF avg0.62.01.42.21.31.8
GA total81220151227
GA avg1.61.71.72.52.02.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico San LuisAtlas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%75%100%
1.533%50%58%75%
2.517%25%42%42%
3.58%8%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico San LuisAtlas
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score202123

Penalties

MetricAtletico San LuisAtlas
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricAtletico San LuisAtlas
Wins11
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-43-12-3
Biggest losses1-34-30-33-1
Goals For1433
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricAtletico San LuisAtlas
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atlas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.97 @ Pinnacle
Away4.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.61 @ Pinnacle
No2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico San Luis = 0.78 (league 1.54), Atlas = 1.75 (league 1.19)

Atlas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico San Luis 0 8.0% 14.0% 12.2% 7.1% 3.1% 1.1%
1 6.2% 10.9% 9.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.8%
2 2.4% 4.2% 3.7% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.3% · Draw 23.2% · Away win 59.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1