Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 01:07 • Estadio AKRON
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.65 (league 1.54) 1.21 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 24.3% 27.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mazatlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuadalajara ChivasMazatlán
Played55
Form67%33%
Attack29%29%
Defense79%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Mazatlán
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%50%42%33%0%17%
Draws17%17%17%50%33%42%
Loses50%33%42%17%67%42%

Form: Guadalajara Chivas: LWLLDLWDLWWW • Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLDDLW

League goals

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Mazatlán
HATHAT
GF total991810515
GF avg1.51.51.51.70.81.3
GA total11718111021
GA avg1.81.21.51.81.71.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuadalajara ChivasMazatlán
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%83%75%92%
1.550%42%50%50%
2.525%25%0%25%
3.58%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuadalajara ChivasMazatlán
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score224033

Penalties

MetricGuadalajara ChivasMazatlán
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricGuadalajara ChivasMazatlán
Wins11
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-22-1
Biggest losses0-31-01-43-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricGuadalajara ChivasMazatlán
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h62%38%
Goals59%41%
Total60.7%39.3%

Advice: Double chance : Guadalajara Chivas or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ 188Bet
Draw5.02 @ Pinnacle
Away7.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Pinnacle
No2.00 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guadalajara Chivas = 1.65 (league 1.54), Mazatlán = 1.21 (league 1.19)

Mazatlán
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guadalajara Chivas 0 5.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 9.5% 11.4% 6.9% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.8% 9.4% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 27.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1