Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Victoria
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.56) 1.00 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.2% 32.3% 38.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.0%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 16.0% 16.0% 8.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNecaxaCruz Azul
Played55
Form20%53%
Attack54%62%
Defense8%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Necaxa Cruz Azul
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%0%15%71%50%62%
Draws33%14%23%29%33%31%
Loses33%86%62%0%17%8%

Form: Necaxa: LWDDLLLDWLLLL • Cruz Azul: DDWWWWWWWDLDW

League goals

Metric Necaxa Cruz Azul
HATHAT
GF total681415924
GF avg1.01.11.12.11.51.8
GA total521268816
GA avg0.83.02.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNecaxaCruz Azul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%85%77%
1.523%46%62%38%
2.515%46%31%8%
3.50%8%8%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNecaxaCruz Azul
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score224112

Penalties

MetricNecaxaCruz Azul
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricNecaxaCruz Azul
Wins17
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—4-11-2
Biggest losses0-13-0—2-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against1523

Model comparison

MetricNecaxaCruz Azul
Form27%73%
Att47%53%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total38.7%61.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Cruz Azul

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.85 @ 10Bet
Draw4.00 @ Bet365
Away2.05 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ SBO
Under 2.52.32 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.59 @ 188Bet
No2.45 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Necaxa = 0.83 (league 1.56), Cruz Azul = 1.00 (league 1.20)

Cruz Azul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Necaxa 0 16.0% 16.0% 8.0% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.3% 13.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.2% · Draw 32.3% · Away win 38.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1