Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio El Encanto
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.20 (league 1.55) 1.21 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.3% 20.0% 20.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.8%
2 - 0
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Santos Laguna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMazatlánSantos Laguna
Played55
Form33%40%
Attack46%31%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mazatlán Santos Laguna
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%0%15%57%0%31%
Draws50%29%38%0%17%8%
Loses17%71%46%43%83%62%

Form: Mazatlán: DWLDLDLLDDLWL • Santos Laguna: WLLWLLLDLWLLW

League goals

Metric Mazatlán Santos Laguna
HATHAT
GF total1051510515
GF avg1.70.71.21.40.81.2
GA total11122391221
GA avg1.81.71.81.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMazatlánSantos Laguna
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%92%69%69%
1.546%54%38%46%
2.50%23%8%31%
3.50%8%0%15%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMazatlánSantos Laguna
HATHAT
Clean sheets011404
Failed to score044134

Penalties

MetricMazatlánSantos Laguna
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMazatlánSantos Laguna
Wins11
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-13-0
Biggest losses1-43-11-43-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against4343

Model comparison

MetricMazatlánSantos Laguna
Form45%55%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Mazatlán or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ Bet365
Draw3.80 @ Dafabet
Away3.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Unibet
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mazatlán = 2.20 (league 1.55), Santos Laguna = 1.21 (league 1.19)

Santos Laguna
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mazatlán 0 3.3% 4.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.3% 8.8% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.1% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.2% 3.9% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.3% · Draw 20.0% · Away win 20.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1