Liga MX — Mexico
Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 03:05 • Estadio BBVA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.55) 1.01 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.6% 17.6% 14.1%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
2 - 0
9.5%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Juarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 3.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.9% 8.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMonterreyFC Juarez
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack62%77%
Defense15%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.29 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Monterrey FC Juarez
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins67%57%62%57%17%38%
Draws33%14%23%29%33%31%
Loses0%29%15%14%50%31%

Form: Monterrey: LWWWWWWWDLWDD • FC Juarez: DLDLWWWDLWWLD

League goals

Metric Monterrey FC Juarez
HATHAT
GF total13132611718
GF avg2.21.92.01.61.21.4
GA total6142071017
GA avg1.02.01.51.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMonterreyFC Juarez
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.592%69%85%85%
1.562%46%46%31%
2.538%15%8%15%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMonterreyFC Juarez
HATHAT
Clean sheets224202
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricMonterreyFC Juarez
Scored (total | %)4 | 80.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 20.00%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricMonterreyFC Juarez
Wins73
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-43-11-2
Biggest losses—6-20-23-1
Goals For3432
Goals Against2623

Model comparison

MetricMonterreyFC Juarez
Form46%54%
Att44%56%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Monterrey or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Betano
Draw4.20 @ Pinnacle
Away5.25 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.22 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Unibet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Monterrey = 2.41 (league 1.55), FC Juarez = 1.01 (league 1.19)

FC Juarez
0 1 2 3 4 5
Monterrey 0 3.3% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 7.9% 8.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.5% 9.6% 4.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.6% 7.7% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.6% 4.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.6% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1