Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Hidalgo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.64 (league 1.56) 1.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.8% 27.3% 55.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.1%
0 - 2
12.8%
0 - 0
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 12.8% 18.1% 12.8% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.6% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPachucaTigres UANL
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack39%61%
Defense61%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pachuca Tigres UANL
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%43%46%57%50%54%
Draws0%43%23%29%50%38%
Loses50%14%31%14%0%8%

Form: Pachuca: WWWWLDLLLDWWD • Tigres UANL: WWWLDWDDDWWDW

League goals

Metric Pachuca Tigres UANL
HATHAT
GF total61218171027
GF avg1.01.71.42.41.72.1
GA total69157613
GA avg1.01.31.21.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePachucaTigres UANL
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%85%46%
1.546%46%46%31%
2.523%0%23%23%
3.50%0%23%0%
4.50%0%15%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPachucaTigres UANL
HATHAT
Clean sheets224437
Failed to score314112

Penalties

MetricPachucaTigres UANL
Scored (total | %)2 | 66.67%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 33.33%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricPachucaTigres UANL
Wins43
Draws13
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-37-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-3—
Goals For3374
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricPachucaTigres UANL
Form42%58%
Att39%61%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h38%62%
Goals56%44%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tigres UANL

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Unibet
Away2.65 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pachuca = 0.64 (league 1.56), Tigres UANL = 1.42 (league 1.20)

Tigres UANL
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pachuca 0 12.8% 18.1% 12.8% 6.1% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.6% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.6% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.8% · Draw 27.3% · Away win 55.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1