Liga MX — Mexico
Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 03:00 • Estadio Jalisco
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
3.08 (league 1.57) 0.64 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.8% 10.2% 4.8%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.8%
2 - 0
11.5%
4 - 0
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.8% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlasLeon
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack44%25%
Defense50%6%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.615 | 3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlas Leon
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins33%14%23%29%17%23%
Draws33%29%31%29%17%23%
Loses33%57%46%43%67%54%

Form: Atlas: WDLLDLLDDLWWL • Leon: LWLLWDWDLDLLL

League goals

Metric Atlas Leon
HATHAT
GF total1382110212
GF avg2.21.11.61.40.30.9
GA total151429111324
GA avg2.52.02.21.62.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlasLeon
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%100%62%69%
1.554%77%23%54%
2.538%38%8%31%
3.50%8%0%23%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlasLeon
HATHAT
Clean sheets000224
Failed to score134145

Penalties

MetricAtlasLeon
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricAtlasLeon
Wins21
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-33-12-45-0
Goals For3331
Goals Against4345

Model comparison

MetricAtlasLeon
Form88%13%
Att64%36%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h15%85%
Goals29%71%
Total57.0%43.2%

Advice: Winner : Atlas

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Unibet
Away2.55 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.55 @ Bwin
No2.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atlas = 3.08 (league 1.57), Leon = 0.64 (league 1.16)

Leon
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlas 0 2.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.4% 4.8% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.8% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.0% 5.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.8% · Draw 10.2% · Away win 4.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1